This weekend, we have a 13-fight card in Florida. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a lot of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw 50-100 entrances at that $25k prize, and then I will likely have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a good amount of drama into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Roosevelt Roberts — $9,500
I expect Roberts to be the much better fighter everywhere this battle goes. I think Gifford’s best shot at a win will be gearing a guillotine. Other than that, I think we have a fairly safe win here with Roberts and that is what I am searching for. I need the safer wins in money and I will worry about who’s going to score the highest in GPPs. I believe we can eliminate him at the GPPs in his price because when he puts up 90 DK points in a win then won’t win 25k. It will help us win in cash games though and I would be amazed if he had a low scoring win here. I think he is excellent for 80-100 points here and I am totally ok with that in my cash lineup.
GPP drama of this week — Greg Hardy- $9,300
Hardy is my GPP play of the week and he’s the greatest ITD odds on the card at -222. This is a setup struggle for him to get a knockout and I think that is most likely going to happen in the very first round. That should place Hardy over 100 things and I am considering that. Hardy will be one of my top plays of this week, but he is GPP only for me. We can’t trust him enough for cash games, so that’s the reason why I enjoy Roberts more in that arrangement. I do think Hardy can outscore Roberts though if they both win, and he’s $200 cheaper. That could knock Roberts off the very best lineup and even with higher ownership we can win that $25k with Hardy in our lineup as long as he gets the early KO. Hardy wins in round 1 is lined at -130 and that’s too good for me to pass in GPPs.
Underdog drama of this week — Glover Teixeira — $7,900
Teixeira is no more the underdog on the betting line (-120) however DraftKings salaries do not change as soon as they’re released. We receive Teixeira here for 400 less costly than Cutelaba and he’s preferred to get the win. I also think he can win in the 1st round with a submission and score over 90 points. That would give him a fantastic chance at being on the optimal lineup. I will be targeting both sides of the fight in GPPs since I don’t expect it to go all 3 rounds, but that value on Teixeira is what I enjoy the most and we have to own”underdogs” within our DK lineups with the $50k salary cap. I think that the obvious path to victory for Glover is on the floor and that’s precisely what I expect his game plan to be. I enjoy him to find a submission win if he can land takedowns and he will be among my greatest owned underdogs this week.
Fade of the week — Carla Esparza ($8,200)
I understand people were expecting me to place Angela Hill as my fade at $9.4k. She’s a strong fade too… But I am going with Esparza as my fade this week and that I will have zero lineups such as her. Generally, Esparza is a decent wrestler and we enjoy wrestlers in DraftKings. I simply don’t see wrestling in her best interest against Jandiroba and I believe she uses her wrestling at shield to try to keep this battle on the toes. All the danger is on the floor in this matchup and Carla gets the boxing of both. I think she could win a 30-27 striking decision but that won’t score highly, and I would guess it sets up around ~60 DK points. That isn’t going to cut it 8.2k so that I just don’t see the way she ends up about the $25k lineup this week even if she does win, and that’s why she’s my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I’m 69-44 to get +224.83un (+$22,483) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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